Forced Labor in Cobalt Mining in the Democratic Republic of the Congo ( United States Department of Labor, Final Report)
HOW CRITICAL MINERAL RESOURCES ARE EXTRACTED IN THE DEMOCRATIC REPUBLIC OF CONGO, FROM UNSAFE COBALT MINES, BY FORCED LABOR AND MODERN SLAVES, OFTEN EXPLOITING CHILDS AND MINORS, IN VIOLATIONS OF HUMAN RIGHTS LEGISLATION. THESE ARE GREVIOUS HUMAN RIGHTS VIOLATIONS THAT…
Leverage effect could bring seasonal Q1 stock market drawdown
The recent Q4 volatility patterns of the major U.S stock market Index, such as Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P500, Nasdaq100 and Russell 3000 could have been a forthcoming market signal of a volatility build-up going into Q1 2025, as among…
FORECASTING EQUITY INDEX VOLATILITY: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM JAPAN,UK AND USA DATA
Understanding and forecasting equity market volatility has become an essential focus for financial analysts, policymakers, and academic researchers. In this working paper are explained the predictive capabilities of non-linear models—ARCH, GARCH, and EGARCH—using weekly return data from Japan, the UK,…
Forecasting Volatility in Asianand European Stock Marketswith Asymmetric GARCHModels
The dynamics of financial market volatility have long captured the interest of researchers and practitioners alike, particularly due to its implications for risk management, portfolio allocation, and derivatives pricing. In this working paper read about the predictive performance of asymmetric…
Dynamic Interactions Between Macroeconomic Variables: Evidence from VAR Forecasting Models
In this article the readers can find theoretical econometric research about the dynamic relationships between macroeconomic indicators, including inflation, interest rates, and real GDP, using Vector Autoregression (VAR) models and ARIMA forecasts. Through impulse response functions (IRFs) and forecast error…
How Many Millions of Human Lives Have Been Sacrified for the Surge of Global Stock Markets?
The Green Ride of the Stock Market: A Modern-Day Green Horseman of the Apocalypse The exponential rise of the stock market, exemplified by the S&P 500’s 175% surge since 2020, evokes an unsettling parallel with the Green Horse of the…
Will EUR/USD exchange rate drift to parity and below
The €uro has been lately under some depreciation pressures as the Euro Area economy struggles to accelerate its economic output and wider political instability in France has been slowing down the economic growth agenda, while also the German economy has…