4-Week Average Jobless Claims increase to 240000, expect higher Unemployment
United States 4-week average jobless claims have increased to 240,000 from the previous 238,000, indicating that the U.S. economy is slowing the pace of hiring while the marginal profitability of American businesses shrinks. Price Stability is a Total fallacy and…
Econometrics forecast research about USA macroeconomic timeseries
In the quest for clues about how the global economy could perform in the coming quarters, additional econometrics research has been applied to some of the major macroeconomic United States variables. In this instance macroeconomic variables examined have been: Bank…
Estimating volatility of Inflation metrics, implementing MSE volatility, ARCH GARCH HS comparison
Study of Inflation metrics volatility has been started with estimating the 3/6/9/12 months volatility extracted form Mean Squared Error in Core CPI in a range 0.2% 0.4%. Measure of volatility in Core CPI, that should be useful to determined the…