Forecasting Volatility in Asianand European Stock Marketswith Asymmetric GARCHModels
The dynamics of financial market volatility have long captured the interest of researchers and practitioners alike, particularly due to its implications for risk management, portfolio allocation, and derivatives pricing. In this working paper read about the predictive performance of asymmetric…
The many reasons why the British Pound can depreciate below parity against the USDollar
When considering the simple data of United States GDP of $27.3 Trillion Dollars in aggregate compare and contrast with United Kingdom GDP $ 3.34 Trillion Dollars, then with virtue of simple proportion anybody can understand that the United States GDP…
FTSEMIB timeseries volatility study and -26% volatility risk scenario
An extensive time-series analysis has been carried over the FTSEMIB to gather statistical parameters and analyse the FTSEMIB daily and cumulative returns volatility patterns. The FTSE MIB chart has already been drifting in a sideways pattern after a BollingerBand technical…
UK GILT yield curve at risk of sustained higher volatility
From a technical standpoint, the bond market reaction function to the Autumn Budget 2024 has been similar to the mini-budget 2022, indeed making the 10Y GILT yield increase to 4.54% above the 2022 of 4.32%, while the scale of change…
