Leverage effect could bring seasonal Q1 stock market drawdown
The recent Q4 volatility patterns of the major U.S stock market Index, such as Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P500, Nasdaq100 and Russell 3000 could have been a forthcoming market signal of a volatility build-up going into Q1 2025, as among…
FTSEMIB timeseries volatility study and -26% volatility risk scenario
An extensive time-series analysis has been carried over the FTSEMIB to gather statistical parameters and analyse the FTSEMIB daily and cumulative returns volatility patterns. The FTSE MIB chart has already been drifting in a sideways pattern after a BollingerBand technical…
NASDAQ Halloween Scare and volatility pumpkin spike
As October rolls to its end, markets have their own way of embracing the Halloween spirit, and it seems the NASDAQ-100 (NDX) has chosen a rather spooky route. Traders and investors are beginning to hear the ominous toll of “Hell’s…
Japan’s debt leverage has been increasing to worrying levels, what could be the implications for the Japanese Yen
Although a very resilient and highly productive and highly technological economy, Japan has achieved many milestones with consistent and somewhat abnormal debt leverage in proportion to the country’s gross domestic product, so the Bank of Japan doesn’t really have anymore…