UK Inflation Outlook: Persistent Inflationary Pressures and the Narrow Path to Price Stability
Recent data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) indicates that UK inflation has been stubbornly persistent, with the Consumer…
Overnight Economic Data and Macro-Data of The Week
Your Old China plates’ economy presents a mixed picture for the third quarter, characterised by robust industrial performance and steady…
ECONOMETRICS RESEARCH
Economic growth
ECONOMY
FISCAL DEFICITS
FISCAL POLICY
Freedom of Expression
Freedom of Thought and discussion
INFLATION
INFLATION EXPECTATION
Albion Economic Outlook: About the UK
Despite modest growth, the UK economy faces a complex landscape. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) predicts the UK will be…
European Inflation: A Diverging Picture Amid Broad Disinflation
The latest batch of European macroeconomic data, culminating in the September figures from France and Spain, confirms that the continent…
A.I.
AUTOMATION
GUNTHER ANDERS
INFLATION
INFLATION EXPECTATION
LABOUR MARKET
MONETARY POLICY
PHILLIPS CURVE
TECHNOLOGY
Impact of Technology on the Labor Market and Taxation
The Flattening of the Phillips Curve Alternative Drivers of Inflation Macroeconomic Models and Parameters Central Bank Monetary Policy and Its…
Challenges in Modeling Tariff Pass-Through
Here is a flowchart illustrating the direct tariff pass-through effect: Modelling Approaches and Forecasts Sector-Specific Tariff Impacts Monetary Policy Implications…
IRAN INSTABILITY REQUIRES AYATOLLAH REGIME TO TAKE SAFE CORRIDOR OFFER FROM RUSSIA
The Persian Gulf area has long been a volatile region, and the ongoing instability in Iran underscores a Middle East…
Middle East Geopolitical Dynamics and Regional Power Structures, why the US aims at reinstating the Shah Regime in Iran
Iran’s Challenges and Economic Pressures Iran faces unprecedented economic and social pressures that have significantly impacted its domestic stability. On…
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL PRESSURE
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
GOVERNMENT DEBT
GOVERNMENT WAGE SHOCK
INFLATION
Government Wage Shocks: A Fiscal Trap with Long-Term Consequences
The question of how governments should deploy fiscal tools to stimulate economic growth or address crises has long been debated.…
FISCAL DEFICIT
FISCAL POLICY
FISCAL SUSTAINABILITY
INFLATION
UK GILTS YIELD CURVE
VOLATILITY AND MARKET RISKS
UK GILT yield curve at risk of sustained higher volatility
From a technical standpoint, the bond market reaction function to the Autumn Budget 2024 has been similar to the mini-budget…
ASSETS PRICES HYPERINFLATION
FEDERAL RESERVE
GROWTH MEANS PRICES GROWTH
INFLATION
MONETARISM CONTRADDICTION IN TERMS
PRICE STABILITY
UNEMPLOYMENT
4-Week Average Jobless Claims increase to 240000, expect higher Unemployment
United States 4-week average jobless claims have increased to 240,000 from the previous 238,000, indicating that the U.S. economy is…
ARIMA MODEL
ECONOMETRICS RESEARCH
GARCH MODEL
INFLATION
MACROECONOMICS RESEARCH
TIMESERIES VOLATILITY
UNITED STATES ECONOMY FORECAST
Econometrics forecast research about USA macroeconomic timeseries
In the quest for clues about how the global economy could perform in the coming quarters, additional econometrics research has…
Estimating volatility of Inflation metrics, implementing MSE volatility, ARCH GARCH HS comparison
Study of Inflation metrics volatility has been started with estimating the 3/6/9/12 months volatility extracted form Mean Squared Error in…
The Price Surge: How Commodities, Energy, and Deficits Fuel Inflation (and What You Can Do About It)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=APmqaMR3UV4
What do we do with a drunken sailor?
On this chart, UK Inflation Expectations stand at 6.1% On this chart, UK Inflation Expectations have risen to 5.6% in…
UK SPRING BUDGET, ANOTHER MISSED OPPORTUNITY
The big idea coming from the UK Exchequer Spring Budget, it’s a rough measure of Capex that won’t produce what’s…