FTSEMIB timeseries volatility study and -26% volatility risk scenario
An extensive time-series analysis has been carried over the FTSEMIB to gather statistical parameters and analyse the FTSEMIB daily and cumulative returns volatility patterns. The FTSE MIB chart has already been drifting in a sideways pattern after a BollingerBand technical…
Global car industry recession will also strike EVs producers as Tesla
The wider global car industry slow-down and manufacturing recession will inevitably impact also Tesla’s revenues in the main business of car sales and leasing, considering its very high stock price valuation and stock financial ratios, these need to be a…
Overview forecast of a 40-50% Market Cap Decline in MAG7 Stocks on the US Economy. Implications of declining saving rates
The “Magnificent Seven” (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) have a combined market capitalization of approximately $15.76 trillion(Stock Analysis)(markets.businessinsider.com). These seven tech giants play a significant role in the overall health of the stock market and the US economy due to their substantial weighting in major indices (such as the S&P 500), their contribution to innovation, and their employment and tax contributions.
Understanding Stock Splits: Their Mechanics and the risks to Financial Stability and the Economy
Stock splits are a common corporate action wherein a company increases the number of its shares while proportionally reducing the stock price. The company’s market capitalization remains unchanged, but shareholders end up with more shares. For example, in a 2-for-1 stock split, every existing share is divided into two, and shareholders receive an additional share for each one they hold, while the price per share is halved.
Extracting Market Performance and Volatility Patterns of Blue-Chip Stocks and the FTSE100 Index
Samples of FTSE100 blue chip stocks and the FTSE100 index have been elaborated to understand the stocks’ returns and the index returns since 2010 up to date. A wide variety of descriptive statistics and volatility measures have been assembled, meanwhile,…
Estimating volatility of Inflation metrics, implementing MSE volatility, ARCH GARCH HS comparison
Study of Inflation metrics volatility has been started with estimating the 3/6/9/12 months volatility extracted form Mean Squared Error in Core CPI in a range 0.2% 0.4%. Measure of volatility in Core CPI, that should be useful to determined the…
FTSE 250 HAS BEEN AMONG THE WORST INDEX GLOBALLY. UK STOCKS ARE COMPLETE RUBBISH
Pound-denominated equities are among the worst globally for investors, UK equities and stocks are very bad and unprofitable investments. The FTSE 250 a basket of mid-cap stocks has been constantly among the worst index globally for returns, in fact, the…
EURO AREA HICP INFLATION DATA BENEFITS FROM DECREASING ENERGY PRICES
Euro Area Inflation data are quite controversial. CORE CPI jumps to 1.2% an increase of 0.4% from the previous month, therefore CPI CORE INFLATION year on year needs to be 6.0%, not 5.7%. 0.9% CPI Inflation increased +0.1% from the…
Commercial Real Estate securitized credit derivatives downgraded, because of declining credit quality
downgraded the ratings on six classes in COMM 2012-CCRE2 Mortgage Trust (“COMM 2012-CCRE2”), Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2012-CCRE2 as follows: Cl. D, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Sep 22, 2022 Downgraded to Baa2 (sf) Cl. E, Downgraded to B1…
Moody’s has taken rating actions by downgrading UK housing associations, underlying credit derivatives finance and SPVs
Moody’s has downgraded the Baseline Credit Assessments (BCAs) of 12 HAs by one notch and of one HA by two notches. The BCA of Alliance Homes Group (Alliance) was downgraded to a3 from a2; the BCAs of Citizen Housing Group…
Moody’s downgrades UK Private Healthcare provider: United Healthcare (Bromley) Limited’s underlying rating to Baa1 from A2; outlook remains negative
Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”) has today downgraded to Baa1 from A2 the underlying rating of the GBP138.4 million of index-linked senior secured bonds due in 2036 (the Bonds) issued by United Healthcare (Bromley) Limited (Project Co). The outlook remains negative….
Moody’s downgrades the rating on GBP 41.4m Project Finance CLO notes of Semperian Senior Funding Plc
Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”) has downgraded the rating on the following notes issued by Semperian Senior Funding Plc: ….GBP 41.4M Class D Notes, Downgraded to Baa3 (sf); previously on Jun 21, 2021 Affirmed A3 (sf) Moody’s has also affirmed the…
