FTSEMIB timeseries volatility study and -26% volatility risk scenario
An extensive time-series analysis has been carried over the FTSEMIB to gather statistical parameters and analyse the FTSEMIB daily and cumulative returns volatility patterns. The FTSE MIB chart has already been drifting in a sideways pattern after a BollingerBand technical…
Global car industry recession will also strike EVs producers as Tesla
The wider global car industry slow-down and manufacturing recession will inevitably impact also Tesla’s revenues in the main business of car sales and leasing, considering its very high stock price valuation and stock financial ratios, these need to be a…
Overview forecast of a 40-50% Market Cap Decline in MAG7 Stocks on the US Economy. Implications of declining saving rates
The “Magnificent Seven” (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) have a combined market capitalization of approximately $15.76 trillion(Stock Analysis)(markets.businessinsider.com). These seven tech giants play a significant role in the overall health of the stock market and the US economy due to their substantial weighting in major indices (such as the S&P 500), their contribution to innovation, and their employment and tax contributions.
Understanding Stock Splits: Their Mechanics and the risks to Financial Stability and the Economy
Stock splits are a common corporate action wherein a company increases the number of its shares while proportionally reducing the stock price. The company’s market capitalization remains unchanged, but shareholders end up with more shares. For example, in a 2-for-1 stock split, every existing share is divided into two, and shareholders receive an additional share for each one they hold, while the price per share is halved.
Japan’s debt leverage has been increasing to worrying levels, what could be the implications for the Japanese Yen
Although a very resilient and highly productive and highly technological economy, Japan has achieved many milestones with consistent and somewhat abnormal debt leverage in proportion to the country’s gross domestic product, so the Bank of Japan doesn’t really have anymore…
Sweden’s OMSX30 market correction of equities mispricing seems almost inevitable as a hot summer meltdown
Sweden’s economic data confirm early warnings of a Housing Market Debt burst feeding into Economic Recession and Unemployment. Latest data confirm everything foresaw between 2023/24. Sweden’s Unemployment rate increased to 9.4% in June and it’s likely to be in the…
Extracting Market Performance and Volatility Patterns of Blue-Chip Stocks and the FTSE100 Index
Samples of FTSE100 blue chip stocks and the FTSE100 index have been elaborated to understand the stocks’ returns and the index returns since 2010 up to date. A wide variety of descriptive statistics and volatility measures have been assembled, meanwhile,…
MAJOR POUND STERLING EXCHANGE RATES VOLATILITY STUDY
GBP/CHF, GBP/JPY AND GBP/USD GRAPHS OF HISTORICAL VOLATILITY CALCULATED WITH 30 DAYS STDV OF LOG RETURNS, THEN 3-MONTH, 6-MONTH AND 12-MONTH AVERAGE VOLATILITY. THE GRAPHS OF GBP/CHF, GBP/JPY AND GBP/USD SEE THE 3-MONTH AVERAGE VOLATILITY LINE DRIFTING UPWARD TO CROSS…
THE FTSE100 COULD BE ON THE VERGE OF AN EQUITIES MARKET CORRECTION
The FTSE 100 chart on a monthly time scale has seen the Bollinger Band giving to the FTSE 100 price line a Sell Signal, that has been consolidating on the Tenkan and Kijun Line. However, these are not relevant technical…
FTSE 250 HAS BEEN AMONG THE WORST INDEX GLOBALLY. UK STOCKS ARE COMPLETE RUBBISH
Pound-denominated equities are among the worst globally for investors, UK equities and stocks are very bad and unprofitable investments. The FTSE 250 a basket of mid-cap stocks has been constantly among the worst index globally for returns, in fact, the…
Commercial Real Estate securitized credit derivatives downgraded, because of declining credit quality
downgraded the ratings on six classes in COMM 2012-CCRE2 Mortgage Trust (“COMM 2012-CCRE2”), Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2012-CCRE2 as follows: Cl. D, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Sep 22, 2022 Downgraded to Baa2 (sf) Cl. E, Downgraded to B1…
S&P 500 POTENTIAL -15% SELL-OFF
SPX price/volume, Daily timescale chart, below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, that means SPX in logarithmic function. Most important SPX 3963 Point of Control SELL-OFF Signal, with a potential Head&Shoulder candlestick pattern. S&P500 price/volume trendline with a -15% | -17.5%…
