Government Wage Shocks: A Fiscal Trap with Long-Term Consequences
The question of how governments should deploy fiscal tools to stimulate economic growth or address crises has long been debated. Among the arsenal of fiscal policies, government wage shocks—significant increases in public sector wages—stand out as one of the least…
Econometrics research of CPIH Volatility Inference with Interest Rate Volatility
The British economy, as well as many other developed economies, has structural inflation issues that are not correlated to wages, quite the opposite, average annual incomes in the past 34 years haven’t kept pace with inflation, making real income unable…
The many good reasons for the European Union to propose the UK joining back Europe
The United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union (EU) has proven to be one of the most consequential political and economic shifts of the 21st century. As the UK grapples with persistent economic challenges, strained diplomatic relations, and geopolitical uncertainties,…
Private Sector Social Contributions Shocks and lagged macro-economy effects
Shocks affecting disposable income of households, Three fiscal shocks crucially affect the disposable income of households. These shocks are associated with direct taxes paid by households, social contributions paid by households and social benefits received by households (i.e. social transfers…