Sweden’s OMSX30 market correction of equities mispricing seems almost inevitable as a hot summer meltdown
Sweden’s economic data confirm early warnings of a Housing Market Debt burst feeding into Economic Recession and Unemployment. Latest data confirm everything foresaw between 2023/24. Sweden’s Unemployment rate increased to 9.4% in June and it’s likely to be in the…
Earth and Water. Ocean Fluids Dynamics, Tidal Forces, and Water in empty Space
The dynamics of water, from the vast ocean currents and tidal forces that shape our planet to its behavior in the void of space, reveal the versatility and essential nature of this element. Understanding these processes not only enhances our comprehension of Earth’s ecosystems but also informs our quest to explore and potentially inhabit other worlds
Dollar Overnight Money Market interest rate rise to 5.4%
The SOFR rates (Secured Overnight Financing Rate) a direct interest rate function of the Federal Reserve money market system increased overnight to 5.44%, while the amount financed and rolled over overnight was at $1.967 Billion also $ 1.96 Trillion Dollars,…
Italian Government -8.8% Q1 fiscal deficit seems way out of order
The quarterly non-financial sector account summary of Italy’s General Government account gives a brief concise framework of Italy’s public finances and the main economic factors. What caught the eye of keen observers has been the out-of-the-ordinary Q1 fiscal deficit balance…
Extracting Market Performance and Volatility Patterns of Blue-Chip Stocks and the FTSE100 Index
Samples of FTSE100 blue chip stocks and the FTSE100 index have been elaborated to understand the stocks’ returns and the index returns since 2010 up to date. A wide variety of descriptive statistics and volatility measures have been assembled, meanwhile,…
The USA Unemployment rate drifting toward non-cyclical rate of unemployment hints at a possible Recession scenario going forward
OBSERVING CORE INFLATION, UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AND NON-CYCLICAL RATE OF UNEMPLOYMENT, VERY SIMPLE GRAPHS EXPLAIN A LOT. EVERY TIME THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE HAS RUN BELOW NAIRU, THAT HAS ACCELERATED INFLATION AND GENERATED ABOVE POTENTIAL TREND GROWTH. TEXBOOK ECONOMICS. IN THE GRAPH…
EUR/USD 1.068 exchange rate will probably become more volatile, with EUR/USD parity
The Euro could be set to become much more volatile in the FX market, considering the interest rates differential with other G10 currencies and the structural idiosyncratic deficiencies in the Euro Area, considering the wider persistent Fiscal Deficits carried on…
Econometrics forecast research about USA macroeconomic timeseries
In the quest for clues about how the global economy could perform in the coming quarters, additional econometrics research has been applied to some of the major macroeconomic United States variables. In this instance macroeconomic variables examined have been: Bank…
MAJOR POUND STERLING EXCHANGE RATES VOLATILITY STUDY
GBP/CHF, GBP/JPY AND GBP/USD GRAPHS OF HISTORICAL VOLATILITY CALCULATED WITH 30 DAYS STDV OF LOG RETURNS, THEN 3-MONTH, 6-MONTH AND 12-MONTH AVERAGE VOLATILITY. THE GRAPHS OF GBP/CHF, GBP/JPY AND GBP/USD SEE THE 3-MONTH AVERAGE VOLATILITY LINE DRIFTING UPWARD TO CROSS…
How the USA economy could perform in the coming quarters ?
Latest Q1 data from the USA economy have seen a decrease in the rate of GDP expansion in Q1 correlated with a decrease in PCE, consumer spending, while Inflation data have slightly increased with Initial Jobless claims also increasing as…
Russians bought up $6.3 billion in Dubai property after 2022 Ukraine invasion, report finds
Since the 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Russian nationals have bought up $6.3 billion in existing and in-development properties in Dubai, a group of economists with the EU Tax Observatory and Norway’s Centre for Tax Research estimated in a recent report….
Moody’s places Tesco Personal Finance plc’s ratings on review for downgrade
Moody’s Investors Service (Moody’s) today placed on review for downgrade all ratings and assessments of Tesco Personal Finance plc (Tesco Bank) and its holding company Tesco Personal Finance Group plc (TPFG): Tesco Bank’s Baseline Credit Assessment (BCA) and Adjusted BCA…
Moody’s downgrades Mobico’s rating to Baa3; downgrades the company’s £1.5 billion backed senior unsecured medium term note (MTN) programme to (P)Baa3 from (P)Baa2, its £250 million backed senior unsecured medium term notes due 2028
Moody’s Ratings (Moody’s) has today downgraded Mobico Group PLC’s (Mobico) long-term issuer rating to Baa3 from Baa2. At the same time, the rating agency downgraded the company’s £1.5 billion backed senior unsecured medium term note (MTN) programme to (P)Baa3 from…
Moody’s downgrades BY Chelmer plc’s ratings to Baa1.
Moody’s Ratings (Moody’s) has today downgraded to Baa1 from A3 the underlying and backed senior secured ratings of the GBP163 million index-linked senior secured bonds due 2043 (the Bonds) issued by BY Chelmer plc (ProjectCo or BY Chelmer). The outlook…