Econometrics forecast research about USA macroeconomic timeseries
In the quest for clues about how the global economy could perform in the coming quarters, additional econometrics research has been applied to some of the major macroeconomic United States variables. In this instance macroeconomic variables examined have been: Bank…
Estimating volatility of Inflation metrics, implementing MSE volatility, ARCH GARCH HS comparison
Study of Inflation metrics volatility has been started with estimating the 3/6/9/12 months volatility extracted form Mean Squared Error in Core CPI in a range 0.2% 0.4%. Measure of volatility in Core CPI, that should be useful to determined the…
What do we do with a drunken sailor?
On this chart, UK Inflation Expectations stand at 6.1% On this chart, UK Inflation Expectations have risen to 5.6% in February, as CPI Inflation increased to 10.4%. Important to notice in the chart, that Inflation Expectations are at the highest…