Britain redraws the Curzon Line. How and why the UK,Ukraine and Russia have been global problem nations in the past decade
The Curzon Line, proposed in 1919, was a demarcation line suggested by British Foreign Secretary Lord George Curzon to define the eastern boundary of Poland following World War I. This line aimed to separate Polish territories from those of Soviet…
PALANTIR STOCK VOLATILITY: A CANARY IN THE COAL MINE FOR TECH STOCK BUBBLE AND MARKET CORRECTION ?
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has been one of the most volatile stocks in the technology sector, with its valuation soaring amid speculative enthusiasm. Despite the company’s strong government contracts and AI-driven analytics, its fundamental metrics suggest that the stock may be…
Q1 2025 Seasonal Volatility and Stock Market Correction: A Forecasting Analysis
The first quarter of 2025 may bring increased stock market volatility, potentially leading to a market correction. A detailed analysis of major U.S. indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, and Russell 3000, suggests that…
Leverage effect could bring seasonal Q1 stock market drawdown
The recent Q4 volatility patterns of the major U.S stock market Index, such as Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P500, Nasdaq100 and Russell 3000 could have been a forthcoming market signal of a volatility build-up going into Q1 2025, as among…
FORECASTING EQUITY INDEX VOLATILITY: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM JAPAN,UK AND USA DATA
Understanding and forecasting equity market volatility has become an essential focus for financial analysts, policymakers, and academic researchers. In this working paper are explained the predictive capabilities of non-linear models—ARCH, GARCH, and EGARCH—using weekly return data from Japan, the UK,…
Overview forecast of a 40-50% Market Cap Decline in MAG7 Stocks on the US Economy. Implications of declining saving rates
The “Magnificent Seven” (Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Nvidia, and Tesla) have a combined market capitalization of approximately $15.76 trillion(Stock Analysis)(markets.businessinsider.com). These seven tech giants play a significant role in the overall health of the stock market and the US economy due to their substantial weighting in major indices (such as the S&P 500), their contribution to innovation, and their employment and tax contributions.
Understanding Stock Splits: Their Mechanics and the risks to Financial Stability and the Economy
Stock splits are a common corporate action wherein a company increases the number of its shares while proportionally reducing the stock price. The company’s market capitalization remains unchanged, but shareholders end up with more shares. For example, in a 2-for-1 stock split, every existing share is divided into two, and shareholders receive an additional share for each one they hold, while the price per share is halved.