Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Fat-Tail Distribution Assumptions
Financial Econometrics studies have demonstrated that forecasting Value At Risk under standard normal distribution conditions could lead to underestimation of potential losses, hence of fat tail volatility risk events, other methods to improve Value At Risk forecasting have been studied…
Higher Prices for Longer, you’re all screwed up, unless you’ll embrace unemployment
John Maynard Keynes theorized and explained the necessity of aggregate supply/demand equilibrium, the Fed messed it all up and now you’re all screwed up with Higher Prices for Longer, while producers compete globally by increasing prices and cost of production…