Sterling money market rates pricing a 5% bank rate peak at the Bank of England
The 3-Month (Sterling Overnight Index Average) interest rate curve forecast a 5% money market peak interest rate according to the Bank of England These are the Bank of England rates and forwards. the daily rate was 4.18%. That also could…
Commercial Property Prices decreased by -15% since property prices peaked a year ago
Commercial Property Price Index decreased by 0.2% in March. The index has fallen by -15% since property prices peaked a year ago. The chart tracks CRE in America. “Transaction volumes remain low, but our estimates put the bid price about…
Housing Market prices inflating to unhealthy excesses for credit markets
The housing market has probably increased to risky levels for credit markets. Since 2009, from the lowest average price to Q4 2022, Housing prices in the UK capital have increased by an average of 195.22%. The average First-time buyer house…
Treasuries yield curve correlated to CPI Inflation expectations
February CPI (excluding food & energy) year on year was 6.1%, and in Feb 2021 was 1.3%. that makes the 2Y inflation expectation about 4.8%. Fed Funds at the minute are on neutral. ECB and BoE are in much worse…
FTSE 250 HAS BEEN AMONG THE WORST INDEX GLOBALLY. UK STOCKS ARE COMPLETE RUBBISH
Pound-denominated equities are among the worst globally for investors, UK equities and stocks are very bad and unprofitable investments. The FTSE 250 a basket of mid-cap stocks has been constantly among the worst index globally for returns, in fact, the…
EURO AREA HICP INFLATION DATA BENEFITS FROM DECREASING ENERGY PRICES
Euro Area Inflation data are quite controversial. CORE CPI jumps to 1.2% an increase of 0.4% from the previous month, therefore CPI CORE INFLATION year on year needs to be 6.0%, not 5.7%. 0.9% CPI Inflation increased +0.1% from the…
Commercial Real Estate securitized credit derivatives downgraded, because of declining credit quality
downgraded the ratings on six classes in COMM 2012-CCRE2 Mortgage Trust (“COMM 2012-CCRE2”), Commercial Pass-Through Certificates, Series 2012-CCRE2 as follows: Cl. D, Downgraded to Ba1 (sf); previously on Sep 22, 2022 Downgraded to Baa2 (sf) Cl. E, Downgraded to B1…