Capital Market Journal

Capital Markets are the cornerstone foundation of economies

BTP YIELDS TREASURIES YIELDS

10y Treasuries and 10y BTP could be at risk of a brutal force sell-off, on Fiscal deficit worries

Treasuries futures chart Ultra 10-Year Treasuries chart signals a downtrend and drifts lower in the price of the Bond. There could be a consistent Sell-Off in Treasuries and a multiple standard deviation spike in yields.

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also the 10Year Treasury note chart, on a month timescale, has started a reversal sparked by Fib level 0.618 rejection $112’26, while a consistent selloff -7.30% in Treasuries could see the 0.50 Fib level $ 103’16 being priced and a 10Year Treasury well above 4.9% up to 6.25%

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BTP 10Year chart,(daily timescale) already prompted a sell signal, with a Head & Shoulder pattern. Serious risk of a BTPs’ sell-off, repricing to €112.50. MACD oscillator has a lines crossover Sell signal.

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Italy’s fiscal revenues are plagued by continuous tax evasion and tax fraud to the tune of €100 billion Euro every year. The Government fiscal revenue shortfall is about €-550 billion for the coming fiscal year and considering global liquidity factors, institutional investors and large bond funds could turn with brutal force on BTPs, with a much higher risk premium on yields.

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