FINANCIAL RISK Archives - Capital Market Journal

The Importance Of Inflation Expectations & Borrowing Rates for American Households #inflation

In this video, we'll delve into details with a comprehensive macro-econometric analysis of the United States economy spanning the years 2001 to 2025. By integrating vast datasets from the Bureau ...of Labour Statistics and the Federal Reserve, the research evaluates the shifting dynamics between inflation, unemployment, and interest rates. We'll see sophisticated DSGE modelling and Vector Autoregression to test the stability of the Phillips Curve and the effectiveness of the Taylor Rule. Their findings suggest a weakening trade-off between employment/unemployment, aggregate supply slack and price stability, indicating a flatter Phillips Curve in recent years. Ultimately, the analysis provides data-driven policy recommendations that emphasise the importance of inflation expectations and adaptive monetary strategies in a persistent, low-interest-rate environment.
Introduction: The 2026 Job Market and "Ghost Jobs" [00:00:00]
The Traditional Phillips Curve vs. Modern Reality [00:03:00]
Cultural Drivers of Inflation Expectations [00:04:00]
Geopolitical Shocks and Price Persistence [00:10:00]
The Ineffectiveness of Managing Aggregate Demand [00:17:00]
Central Bank Responses and the Taylor Rule [00:22:00]
Corporate Bond Rates: The "Real" Economic Indicator [00:35:00]
Advanced Modelling: DSGE and Bayesian VAR [00:40:00]
#stockmarket #οικονομικά #macroeconomics #phillipscurve #econometrics #jobmarket #ghostjobs #careeradvice #unemployment #inflationexpectations #ForwardLooking #supplychain #federalreserve #privatecredit #corporatebonds #financialcrisis
Listen for Free to The Podcast :
https://open.spotify.com/show/7puiUZxpDb7DT5rYOnIkmk?si=efcc3ea01f304b19
Read for Free and enjoy the Journal with the latest, most important facts you need to know about economics and global markets:
https://capitalmarketjournal.com/

Educational Disclaimer

This video is produced solely for educational and informational purposes. The content is designed to demystify financial concepts and explore analytical tools for a general audience interested in learning about market dynamics.
Important:
Not Financial Advice: The content presented here, including all data, analysis, models, and strategies discussed, is for illustrative and educational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial product.
Seek Professional Guidance: All investment decisions involve unique risks and should be made in consultation with a qualified, independent financial professional, such as your private banker, financial advisor, or a licensed portfolio manager, who can assess your individual circumstances.
(By accessing this content, you acknowledge and agree that you are responsible for your own investment research and decisions)Show More

The Importance Of Inflation Expectations & Borrowing Rates for American Households #inflation

In this video, ...

WHAT I HAVE DISCOVERED ABOUT ITALY'S ECONOMY, TUNE IN PILU #economy #italy

#stockmarket ...

PALANTIR STOCK VOLATILITY: A CANARY IN THE COAL MINE FOR TECH STOCK BUBBLE AND MARKET CORRECTION ?

Feb 24, 2025 capitalmarketsjournal

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has been one of the most volatile stocks in the technology sector, with its valuation soaring amid…

EQUITIES MARKET RISK FINANCIAL RISK FINANCIAL STABILITY RISK Stock Market Crash stock prices bubble SYSTEMIC RISK

Understanding Stock Splits: Their Mechanics and the risks to Financial Stability and the Economy

Sep 21, 2024 capitalmarketsjournal

Stock splits are a common corporate action wherein a company increases the number of its shares while proportionally reducing the…

BIG BANKS RISK BIS DERIVATIVES EXPOSURE FINANCIAL CRISIS FINANCIAL RISK GLASS STEAGLE ACT HEDGE FUNDS LEVERAGE MARKET RISKS SYSTEMIC RISK VOLATILITY AND MARKET RISKS

The Current State of Hedge Funds’ Leverage and Implications for Big Banks

Sep 8, 2024 capitalmarketsjournal

Hedge funds, known for their aggressive and often highly speculative investment strategies, have leveraged their portfolios to extraordinary levels in…

The Importance Of Inflation Expectations & Borrowing Rates for American Households #inflation

PALANTIR STOCK VOLATILITY: A CANARY IN THE COAL MINE FOR TECH STOCK BUBBLE AND MARKET CORRECTION ?

Understanding Stock Splits: Their Mechanics and the risks to Financial Stability and the Economy

The Current State of Hedge Funds’ Leverage and Implications for Big Banks

You missed

UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT VIOLATIONS OF HABEAS CORPUS ARE A VIOLATION OF ARTICLE 3 OF THE NATO TREATY AND A THREAT TO INTERNATIONAL LAW

The Necessity of a United Nations HQ Relocation to the Hague with a Permanent Nuremberg Tribunal.The Impunity Crisis of Rogue Governments

THE UNITED STATES VICE-PRESIDENT IS EXPRESSION OF THE DERANGED INNER CIRCLE OF AMERICAN-NAZIST RUNNING THE WHITE-NUTHOUSE

The Digital Job Posting Bubble: Quantifying Phantom Demand in Online Labor Markets